Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.190283 0.219328 0.252628 0.293918 0.344145 0.403776 0.480709
2025-05-04 0.148873 0.186855 0.235517 0.303729 0.399025 0.530838 0.733312
2025-05-11 0.124193 0.165821 0.223741 0.313042 0.452727 0.673181 1.071127
2025-05-18 0.106449 0.148942 0.211947 0.316760 0.496850 0.815722 1.484384
2025-05-25 0.093284 0.135514 0.201448 0.318334 0.536165 0.964057 1.999700
2025-06-01 0.082641 0.123793 0.190850 0.316308 0.567284 1.108927 2.612998
2025-06-08 0.073686 0.113224 0.180000 0.310819 0.589302 1.243887 3.317064
2025-06-15 0.068540 0.108108 0.177466 0.320124 0.644981 1.485391 4.597024
2025-06-22 0.062151 0.099948 0.168068 0.313461 0.662354 1.637224 5.759277
2025-06-29 0.057924 0.095046 0.163924 0.316835 0.705251 1.888366 7.743646
2025-07-06 0.053497 0.089235 0.157149 0.312948 0.728316 2.092972 9.911366
2025-07-13 0.050678 0.086079 0.155158 0.319587 0.782991 2.448198 13.924835
2025-07-20 0.048230 0.083420 0.153952 0.328308 0.849091 2.911512 20.560415
2025-07-27 0.045851 0.080646 0.152144 0.335307 0.913952 3.439650 30.808237
2025-08-03 0.043867 0.078438 0.151248 0.344578 0.991502 4.123707 48.900364
2025-08-10 0.041687 0.075598 0.148548 0.348396 1.052263 4.802941 76.048350
2025-08-17 0.039578 0.072692 0.145315 0.350060 1.106594 5.530909 119.810780
2025-08-24 0.037430 0.069502 0.141016 0.347742 1.144761 6.220723 185.879320
2025-08-31 0.035264 0.066083 0.135769 0.341546 1.164555 6.819292 280.555890
2025-09-07 0.034177 0.064909 0.135845 0.352034 1.266001 8.339145 614.277257
2025-09-14 0.032271 0.061764 0.130654 0.344520 1.278953 9.060340 1018.473616
2025-09-21 0.031057 0.060070 0.128953 0.348323 1.352167 10.649616 2496.029603
2025-09-28 0.029566 0.057631 0.125067 0.343941 1.381096 11.820205 5678.320528